Showing posts with label central Indian landscape. Show all posts
Showing posts with label central Indian landscape. Show all posts

Monday, January 1, 2018

Maintaining tiger connectivity and minimizing extinction into the next century: Insights from landscape genetics and spatially-explicit simulations

It is sad that our paper came out on the day a dominant male tiger (BTR T-2) got killed on the National Highway -6. However, it raises relevant questions regarding the future of tigers in human-dominated landscapes.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0006320717307346

We used landscape genetic simulations to model 86 different scenarios that incorporated impacts of future land-use change on inferred tiger-population connectivity and extinction.

Key findings and conservation implications:
  • Dense human settlements and roads with high traffic are detrimental to tiger movement. 
  • Unplanned expansion of National Highways without mitigation measures significantly increases probability of extinction in many Protected Areas (for dispersal threshold of 500 km and 300 km)
  • Protecting corridors, stepping-stone populations and increasing numbers would be critical for tiger survival into the next decade
  • Our results highlight the immediate need for regional land-use management and planning exercises aimed at managing tiger populations as a network of PAs connected with corridors.
  • Our simulations provide a means to quantitatively evaluate the effects of different land-use change scenarios on connectivity and extinction, linking basic science to land-use change policy and planned infrastructure development.